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Week of August 1, 2008-European Session

The EURUSD saw whipsaw price action yesterday as weaker than exected US jobless claims sent the USD initially lower, but this was short lived as soon afterwards Eurozone economic outlook was released forecasting negative EZ GDP for Q3 which sent the Euro broadly lower and a stronger US dollar on the day. Today’s US non-farm payrolls report is expected to show a modest decline of -75k, but Wednesday’s ADP report came in at +9k versus the expected -58k, so, a headline number today near expectations or better will see the US dollar gain, assuming there are no prior downward revisions. EURUSD downside targets are 1.5459 followed by the June 13th low at 1.5302. To the upside, a sustained break above 1.5606 will see the EURUSD continue to move higher with 1.5624 and 1.5642 as nearterm upside targets.

  • Posted by adminfx
  • On August 1, 2008
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